Wednesday, February 6, 2008

The Walk of Shame

So, for all of the excitement going into yesterday, for all the supers and the dupers getting bandied about, for all the preposterous euphoria I felt coming into the office having just cast my vote, nothing much really happened. The dust has settled, only for us to realize that it was never really stirred up much in the first place.

Obama won more states, but Clinton took the higher profile ones and will take more delegates. As of this writing, both the Chicago Tribune and the New York Times are reporting national delegate totals with Hillary Clinton at 845 and Barack Obama at 765. Out of a total 1610 there, there's 80 delegates and just under 5% difference in their delegate counts. Josh Marshall thinks that this is really a win for Obama because he managed to squeak a tie when a few weeks ago, he was trailing severely, but I don't think that matters much when he's dealing with an opponent of Hillary Clinton's caliber. She's not going to fall off the wagon just because of a tie. I stand by my assertion from the other day that he'll continue to gain, but he's going to have to work for it. We've still got big delegate states like Ohio, Texas, and Pennsylvania coming up, so this is still going to remain a fight.

For the Republicans, not only did Super Tuesday not decide anything, it actually made things more unclear. McCain was, as predicted the biggest winner, but not by the margins everyone was expecting. Huckabee did better than expected, keeping his campaign alive, and Romney won just enough (I suspect) for him to justify dropping another $20 million of his own cash to get him to the convention. He's got plenty more delegates than Huckleberry, so if he's in, so is Mittens.

So yeah. Whole lot of nothing.

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