New Hampshire

• It's 66 degrees in Chicago today (January 7). Greenpeace has their hired hacks out on the street hassling people on their lunchbreaks in an effort to raise money to fight global warming. While I generally care a great deal about environmental concerns, can't we just take one day to say "fuck the polar bears," and enjoy the wonders given to us by human collective narcissism in a post-industrial world.
  
  
• Mike Huckabee is giving sermons (like, in actual church services) as part of his campaign. Sermons about how to be a "soldier in God's army." Is anyone else hearing alarm bells? I'm almost hoping for a Mitt Romney comeback just so he can beat Huck.
  
  
• Hillary is going to get her ass kicked by Obama in New Hampshire tomorrow. I'm going to say he's going to win by at least ten points (for the sake of specificity, I'll say 14 points): phone polls are going to consistently underestimate Obama, as his voters are typically younger and more likely not to have home phones. I'll predict a similar result for McCain over Romney (let's say 12 points). Giuliani is going to lose to Ron Paul again.
  
  
• Mitt is in a tailspin right now and unless he can win in Michigan (which is looking dubious), he's toast. He did win the Wyoming caucuses this past Saturday, but no one really noticed or cared. It's the last state he's going to win.
  
  
• Hillary's in a tailspin too:
  

  The Rasmussen Reports daily tracking poll shows that Sen. Hillary Clinton’s national polling lead has collapsed. Before the Iowa caucuses, Clinton held a 17 point lead over Sen. Barack Obama. Today, that lead is down to 4 points in a survey with a four-point margin of sampling error.
  
  Nationally, Clinton leads the national race with 33% support, followed by Obama at 29% and John Edwards at 20%.

• Mike Huckabee has learned to stand up. Vertically. Not horizontally, or diagonally. Just vertically. he's going to take our country up. But not down. Just the up part of vertical.
  
  
• Suggestions that Hillary might drop out of the race if she loses New Hampshire in order to save face for a future bid for the presidency. Not only would this be monumentally stupid in terms of a way to save face, but if I understand Hillary, she'll go down kicking and screaming right up through the convention. Still, it's interesting to hear the rumor.