Tuesday, November 4, 2008

538 on the Senate

Those 60 seats might still be possible:
If Udall, Begich, Merkley and Franken can win their races, and Mary Landrieu hold hers, Democrats will sit at 59 Senate seats. Then Democrats need to either keep Chambliss under 50% (some big Democratic counties are outstanding) or somehow pull off the Musgrove-Wicker upset, another race that has not been called.
According to Minnesota Public Radio, the race is currently Franken 43.2%, Coleman 40.3%, Barkley 15.6% with 8% of precincts reporting. Franken's been trending steadily downward in the last half hour or so, while Coleman is up a bit from earlier and Barkley is holding steady around 16%.

So that race is tightening, and Minnesotans are notorious ticket-splitters. I wouldn't count Franken toward those 60 seats just yet.

No comments: